Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.311108 0.418476 0.537158 0.675807 0.831309 0.998588 1.190498
2025-04-13 0.180715 0.322039 0.498069 0.721961 0.989932 1.292990 1.655054
2025-04-20 0.119474 0.271849 0.480066 0.760242 1.108764 1.513861 2.008025
2025-04-27 0.081246 0.239221 0.474922 0.807368 1.233438 1.738735 2.364289
2025-05-04 0.062266 0.228715 0.494592 0.882136 1.388691 1.997167 2.757368
2025-05-11 0.042149 0.207469 0.493860 0.926398 1.503327 2.205243 3.090071
2025-05-18 0.022671 0.175746 0.471119 0.936343 1.571098 2.354147 3.350697
2025-05-25 0.005185 0.125790 0.408586 0.883197 1.551776 2.392187 3.475289
2025-06-01 NaN 0.084183 0.348567 0.825985 1.521543 2.412550 3.575095
2025-06-08 NaN 0.060065 0.313927 0.802416 1.533407 2.483394 3.734307
2025-06-15 NaN 0.049750 0.306018 0.819714 1.600924 2.624774 3.980081
2025-06-22 NaN 0.036014 0.284491 0.812070 1.631737 2.717765 4.165081
2025-06-29 NaN 0.021980 0.255643 0.791895 1.647556 2.796303 4.339471
2025-07-06 NaN 0.019461 0.262485 0.835221 1.756957 2.999531 4.672874
2025-07-13 NaN 0.017320 0.269542 0.878444 1.865806 3.201651 5.004464
2025-07-20 NaN 0.016250 0.280401 0.928695 1.985251 3.418128 5.354632
2025-07-27 NaN 0.018846 0.307375 1.009224 2.149962 3.695022 5.781553
2025-08-03 NaN 0.017457 0.316657 1.056656 2.265480 3.906660 6.126119
2025-08-10 NaN 0.012451 0.306783 1.067326 2.325783 4.044619 6.377312
2025-08-17 NaN 0.003981 0.263621 1.010328 2.282181 4.042288 6.449284
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000220 0.221405 0.948850 2.228191 4.023565 6.498404
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.198456 0.923482 2.227763 4.075689 6.636629
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.195887 0.942103 2.296440 4.222324 6.896729